Surrender Georgie: Possible Sentencing outcomes for George Santos Indictment


Yes, NY Congressman George Santos is innocent until proven guilty. And he deserves his “day in court”. But, he has already been tried and convicted in the media for a plethora of demonstrably provable falsehoods, which will not bode well for him should he choose to exercise his right to trial on fraud charges.

Will he make the right choice, fall on his sword, resign from Congress, plead guilty and demonstrate extraordinary acceptance of responsiblity?  Doubtful.

So, now it’s time to look at the possible sentence he faces if convicted. Spoiler alert – it ain’t pretty.



  • Possible sentencing ranges under statutes and guidelines for Mr. Santos; 
  • Unfairness of guidelines in terms of burden of proof and relevant conduct;
  • New guideline 2-level reduction for zero criminal history points;
  • Criminal history issues; 
  • Real world sentencing stats (JSIN and sentencing stats).



These are the former podcast episodes you might want to check out to get the full flavor of this one:

Acquitted Conduct Episode:


Elizabeth Holmes episode:


New guidelines podcast (discussing -2 levels for zero criminal history):  


JSIN – Judicial Sentencing Information:

And, we talked some about NARRATIVE – a series of events that occur in search of solution to a problem.  If you’re interested to learn more, here’s a short, cheap book on amazon I co-authored with communication expert, Dr. Randy Olson:

Check out this episode!

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